Doctor considering a pandemic



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The 1918 Spanish Flu Pandemic
The most deadly flu pandemic in human history

The 1918 Spanish flu pandemic was the most deadly outbreak of a disease in human history. However, the 1830 influenza pandemic was just as deadly percentage wise but its command of the world was during a time when there were fewer people on the earth. Notice the time gap between the two major events. The next one, which could be coming soon, will probably break the record because in 1918 there were only about 1.8 billion people on earth. Today there are about 6.8 billion people on earth. Laboratory experiments indicate the present day H5N1 virus is as dangerous as the 1918 version. Also, the swine flu is 95% + the same as the 1918 flu.

It started in late January and early February 1918. The doctors were in confusion over what they were seeing. At first, they saw a patient with normal flu systems that was more intense than normal, and then those symptoms appeared on other patients one right after another. The symptoms were so intense that people died in larger numbers and the virus spread more rapidly in the body. The biggest surprise was that the majority of patients were young and strong. The symptoms jumped on the patients very quickly, like a thousand-pound gorilla. Soon the medical staffs at the hospitals were overwhelmed with patients. The doctors of the time were in a state of panic as you can imagine. They could not figure out what they were seeing. Public officials banned all social gatherings and many people did not go to work to avoid the virus. Then pop like the bursting of a balloon, it was gone leaving doctors with nothing but questions. By mid march, government authorities thought it was ok for public gatherings and social events to occur again. Also, people went back to work.

By the end of May, the virus was in Shanghai infecting half the population. After that, it spread to New Zealand and Austria where 30 percent of the population bowed to its dominance. Strangely, even though it was spreading explosively, it did not kill with the same enthusiasm as before; it was still finding its way to the most efficient killing machine. At this stage, it spread rapidly but killed in much lower percentages as before. People were calling it the three-day flu. The disease spread rapidly in Europe and even though it was less dangerous, it still showed signs of extreme ferocity. Notice the progression of the virus’s mutations toward its maximum killing efficiency. This is very important information that could help you develop your individual plan. It could help you judge misleading information obtained from other sources.

In Louisville, Kentucky their first wave showed the virus was developing rapidly infecting and choking the lunges with blood. Remember the first wave that hits your area may not be the first wave of the mutation. Therefore, its characteristics could vary from other reported occurrences. People were dying within 24 to 48 hours, which was extremely rare for people dying of pneumonia.

Another strange thing that started to develop was that 40% of those who died were between twenty and thirty-five years old. In normal influenza statistics, this group had the lowest number of casualties. It was a frightening reality to witness a large number of people dying within a matter of a few weeks. Even more so, when you realize that almost half were strong adults.

Between June and August, more than two hundred thousand British soldiers were sick out of two million. Then all of a sudden, it was gone again. The British command declared that the pandemic was over and other professionals agreed.

Viruses use a process known as passage to adapt to their environment. When an organism has a weak ability to cause a disease passes from one animal to another, it will often become more proficient in growing and spreading. This will often increase its ability to kill. However, like many other things it is not that easy the phenomenon is complex. The killing efficiency continues up to a point. The virus’s goal is to grow in as many hosts as possible. Say for example, the virus kills too efficiently, it could run out of hosts quickly condemning itself to extinction. However, if it was less deadly, it could hide in its host not killing it and spreading too many more hosts all over the world.

The complex nature of passage can also cause the virus to be less dangerous to a single person. In 1918 when the virus leaped from being a bird’s only disease to a human disease, it became less poisonous. This mutation was much easier to catch than before. Today, the H5N1 virus is difficult to catch in humans because infections develop deep in the lunges. Since the infection is so deep up to 60% of the people, who catch it die. When someone coughs, a lot of the infection is not present because the infection is so deep in the lunges. When the virus learns to set up shop close to the entrance of the lunges, it will be less deadly but it could spread more easily. Therefore, when people sick with the bird flu cough, the infection will spread easily.

The bird flu killed about 2.5% of the total population in 1918. Once today’s virus passes through enough humans’, the kill rate could drop from its current level of more than 60% to a lower number. This lower number could be as low as 1% to 10% of the population making it much more dangerous. Passage is a major key because the more of it that occurs the greater the chance that a pandemic will occur.

National journals in different parts of the world described the flu as mild. However, other parts of the world were experiencing a vicious second wave almost simultaneously which pounced upon them without notice. This is why you must know what wave is currently in your area. In addition, since waves come and go almost without noticing it is extremely important that you practice safe habits between waves of influenza activity. This "mutant swarm" had passed through a large number of humans all over the world and this passage enabled the virus to adapt and achieve its maximum efficiency.

Usually if many people are not, near you outdoors you would be safe from the virus in the air. However, on September 28, 1918, Philadelphia had a huge parade in the city meant to raise money for the war effort. This was an important event and of course, the city officials wanted to back the men at war for our country even considering the risk. The doctors felt since the event was outdoors in the open air there would not be any great danger. However, thousands and thousands of people all breathing the same air turned out to be an area for the disease to spread. Only a few days later the virus hospitalized thousands of people.

On October 3, officials banned all public meetings in the city which included further parades, meetings at all churches, schools, theaters and even public funerals. In only ten days, the epidemic had erupted from one or two deaths a day to hundreds of deaths each day. This is why you must avoid crowds at all cost both indoors and outdoors. This also brings up your activities between influenza waves of activity. If you drop your guard even for a short time, you can catch the flu.

City authorities and newspapers minimized the danger in 1918 and they might do it again remember the conflict of interest and the necessity to keep the economy running. I am all for keeping the economy healthy; I just want people to be aware so they can adjust their plan correctly.

There were thousands and thousands of sick people in Philadelphia. People were simply terrified because their friends, family and associates were here one day and dead the next. It struck so quickly that many victims were perfectly healthy one minute and died within twelve hours. The Journal of the American Medical Association had reports of death within hours of notice that they were sick. No matter how mild the symptoms in the beginning, the infection could spread and kill them in a matter of hours. The city was so petrified with fear that few people would go outside unnecessarily.

The symptoms of the disease varied sometimes it started with extreme exhaustion, fever, chill, headache, eye infection, pained limbs and back and flushing of the face and a continuing cough. If you were still alive after 10 days, it probably meant that you would make it through the disease.

Then there were the cases in which the virus struck with violence. Those however, who suffered a violent attack, often experienced extreme pain potentially covering any part of the body. In addition, it affected the victim’s mental state in extreme ways. People went temporarily out of their minds.

Young people usually have the strongest immune systems and can normally put up the strongest immune response. Since, they have the healthiest systems, it is logical to assume they would fight the disease more successfully than any other group. However, the disease manipulated that strength and turned it into a weakness. The same strange anomaly is occurring with the swine flu/H5N1 virus today.



There were many lessons learned by the people in 1918 and they are important today.   

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