Swine Flu H1N1 Manual : FREE Swine Flu
H1N1 Manual Exposes why the swine flu will be more lethal
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The swine flu is a combination of pig, human
and bird viruses. This hybrid is not finished mutating. It does
not have to mix with the H5N1 bird flu germ to get more lethal. The
1918 Spanish flu was also a hybrid. The swine flu H1N1 could mix with
many strains of bird and human flu. The reassortment with any of
these viruses could create a much more dangerous virus.
But, the big question is will the highly
pathogenic H5N1 virus mix with the swine flu H1N1 germ?
The pandemic could last for up to threes years. The H5N1
virus started developing in 2003. It is endemic all over Asia and
smaller numbers in a lot of other countries. There is a good chance
that someone with the swine flu also will catch the H5N1 flu. The H5N1
virus is also mutating to a milder form. It will spread easier
increasing the chances that the two germs will meet. The WHO
predicts that up to 2 billion people will catch the swine flu H1N1
germ.
There have been 30 flu pandemics in the
past.
History shows that there is a flu pandemic three/four times a
century every 35/40 years or so. Over the last 200 years there has
been a severe one every 90 years or so. The two most recent were in
1830 and in 1918. The one in 1918 killed from 50 up to 100 million
people.
However, the one in 1830 was just
as bad but there were fewer people on earth at the time. In 1830
there were 1 billion people on earth in 1918 there were 1.8 billion
people on earth today there are over 6.8 billion people on the
planet. There were mild pandemics in 1957 and 1968. We were overdue for the next
mild one and right on time for the next severe one. A pandemic
happens when the virus is new to the people. Usually there are few
people still living between bad flu pandemics, which mean that no
one will have immunity.
The H5N1 bird flu virus is not just
going to disappear.
It is already part of the landscape in many
parts of the world. History tells us that our immune system controls
how often severe pandemics occur. They are not common occurring
every 90 years or so. When a contagious pandemic virus is present,
it mixes with every virus it meets. (When both infect the same
cell)
It has been 90 years since the last bad
one and the signs point to a severe one happening now. There are no
medical discoveries that change this timetable.
Some authorities keep trying to
tell the people not to panic this won‘t be bad. They did the same
thing in 1918 causing a lot of unnecessary pain. I refuse to
sugarcoat the situation. I know that panic
is not good, but if I were standing on railroad tracks, I would
rather panic and get off them ASAP than get surprised by the train
later.
BUENOS AIRES, Argentina — Swine flu has
been found in a number of pigs at a farm near the capital. There is
a swine flu outbreak during their winter. About 1/4 of the pigs at
the farm in Buenos Aires caught the virus. The pigs caught the germ
from humans.
Let’s be real, these two germs will meet. If a severe flu problem
does not exist before this happens, it will surely exist after the
two meet.
Reasons why the present Swine flu H1N1
pandemic will change to a much more lethal form are as
followed:
1. History tells us there was about 90
years between two of our most severe pandemics.
2. Within 3 short months, the swine flu
H1N1 virus has all ready mutated to a form that spreads more
easily.
3. A contagious pandemic H1N1 swine flu
virus lasting up to 3 years will surely mix with many other viruses.
5. The germ could become more lethal
just by reassorting with any other bird flu or human viruses
regardless of how dangerous the virus is now.
6. The more contacts in the pool of
host the greater the chances of a virus mutating.
Now, we have over 6.8 billion
people on
earth. This virus spreads easily 2 billion people are expected to
catch it. When you add up all the hosts, like pigs/birds the chances
that reassortment will happen is great. The mixing of sick flu host
is what caused the last two pandemics. These large pools of host
could cause other pandemics in the future.
7. The last two pandemics in 1957 and
1968 were a result of mutations through reassortment. The big
difference is we have a very dangerous bird flu virus H5N1 in big
numbers waiting to meet the H1N1 virus.
8. The H1N1 germ can mix with
bird flu germs, normal flu germs, and pig germs to create a
new strain.
When a person/pig catches the
human/bird or swine flu at the same time, the genes randomly mix.
The resulting germ is called an antigen shift. An antigenic shift
will create a germ that few have immunity to.
The last three flu pandemic of the
century were through antigenic shift. The Spanish Flu pandemic in
1918, killed from 50 to 100 million people causing major problems
throughout the world. Antigenic shifts also caused the Asian flu
pandemics in 1957 and the Hong Kong flu in1968.
Many experts believe the H5N1 could
make an antigen shift. If the swine flu mixes with the H5N1 or human
flu to create a new strain looks out. If it does not do it now it
could happen later possibly extending the pandemic or causing
another pandemic back to back.
All viruses including the swine flu
H1N1 adapt through constant random mutations. Even though it has
only been around for a few months swine flu H1N1 mutating strains
have already found a way to render Tamiflu useless for some people.
Experts say mutant strains of H1N1 viruses are now able to resist
Tamiflu.
“The case in Hong Kong indicates that
the mutant virus is capable of being transmitted among people”, said
Jennifer McKimm- Breschkin, a virologist at the Commonwealth Science
and Industrial Research Organization in Melbourne.
“It’s very disturbing that, fresh into
the human population, this one appears now to be able to retain
fitness despite having the mutation and to be able to spread,” she
said.
BUENOS AIRES, Argentina — Swine flu has
been found in a number of pigs at a farm near the capital. There is
a swine flu outbreak during their winter. About 1/4 of the pigs at
the farm in Buenos Aires caught the virus. The pigs catch the germ
from humans.
The LESSONS learned from Mexico and the
World Health Organisation about the pandemic and its victims are as
followed:
1. In Mexico the swine flu H1N1 victims
were young/some healthy before getting serious infections. In early
July the WHO confirmed this observation by saying that one third to
half of the severe/fatal infections happened to healthy middle-aged
and young people. Also pregnant women have a good chance of
problems. Most of the people were young to middle aged and had been
healthy before they caught the virus. This is important because when
the youngest and strongest can catch the virus and pass away, we all
must try to avoid catching the flu.
2. The people who got ill the least
were over age 59
3. All those who were hospitalized had
pneumonia. This is a key feature that connects the swine flu H1N1 to
past pandemics.
4. In a sampling of 18 swine flu H1N1
cases more than half where aged 13 to 47.
5. Out of the 18 cases only 8 had
pre-existing problems that the flu could use to make them more
ill.
6. 90% of the seriously ill cases were
not yet 50.
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